Strategy library · Comparison

RSI 30/70 vs RSI 20/80 vs RSI 2 on NQ and ES futures: 2-year backtest side by side

RSI 30/70 vs RSI 20/80 vs RSI 2 on NQ and ES futures, side by side. The table below holds RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70), RSI 14 at 20 / 80 and RSI 2 (Connors) at the timeframes they have in common, one row per strategy, ordered by market and then timeframe. No row is ordered by a result, and nothing on this page names one strategy over another: the figures are the figures.

Tested by CE Market Solutions on 2026-10-26. Gross, no commission or slippage. Last 2 years.

RSI 30/70

RSI 30/70, RSI 20/80 and RSI 2, NQ 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07 and ES 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, one contract, before commission and slippage.

MarketTimeframeStrategyTradesWin %Net ptsNet $ (1 contract)Max DD ptsLong tradesLong net ptsShort tradesShort net pts
NQ5 minuteRSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70)54949.7%−1,210.25−$24,2054,368.75286927.25263−2,137.50
NQ5 minuteRSI 14 at 20 / 8014646.6%−6,047.25−$120,9456,271.2579−3,309.5067−2,737.75
NQ5 minuteRSI 2 (Connors)1,52863.2%−380.75−$7,6153,751.75800−1,651.007281,270.25
NQ15 minuteRSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70)36748.8%−3,208.75−$64,1754,327.50185−2,150.75182−1,058.00
NQ15 minuteRSI 14 at 20 / 8011543.5%−2,293.00−$45,8602,775.0059−1,338.5056−954.50
NQ15 minuteRSI 2 (Connors)49461.3%−891.25−$17,8251,472.75297−712.50197−178.75
NQ1 hourRSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70)14046.4%−614.50−$12,2901,960.5068519.0072−1,133.50
NQ1 hourRSI 14 at 20 / 803060.0%853.50$17,070322.2517985.7513−132.25
NQ1 hourRSI 2 (Connors)16560.0%640.25$12,8051,700.0097529.2568111.00
NQDailyRSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70)560.0%−24.25−$4853,603.7522,760.753−2,785.00
NQDailyRSI 14 at 20 / 8010.0%−2,219.00−$44,3802,219.000—1−2,219.00
NQDailyRSI 2 (Connors)2373.9%283.50$5,6702,683.25203,063.753−2,780.25
ES5 minuteRSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70)58149.2%353.25$17,6631,083.75284577.75297−224.50
ES5 minuteRSI 14 at 20 / 8015448.1%−633.50−$31,675959.0088−257.5066−376.00
ES5 minuteRSI 2 (Connors)1,49162.8%224.75$11,238375.50820115.75671109.00
ES15 minuteRSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70)36946.6%−391.50−$19,575973.50179−791.75190400.25
ES15 minuteRSI 14 at 20 / 8010441.4%−429.00−$21,450444.0059−267.7545−161.25
ES15 minuteRSI 2 (Connors)48760.4%71.25$3,563398.0028343.5020427.75
ES1 hourRSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70)12948.1%257.75$12,888242.5058321.5071−63.75
ES1 hourRSI 14 at 20 / 802857.1%−71.25−$3,562137.5016−100.751229.50
ES1 hourRSI 2 (Connors)16962.1%535.50$26,775209.75108469.006166.50
ESDailyRSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70)475.0%512.00$25,600540.502957.252−445.25
ESDailyRSI 14 at 20 / 800————0—0—
ESDailyRSI 2 (Connors)2785.2%611.00$30,550492.50231,082.254−471.25

The figures in words

RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70): buys when RSI 14 crosses back above 30 after being oversold, sells short when RSI 14 crosses back below 70 after being overbought. Exit: RSI reaches the other level (70 for longs, 30 for shorts).

RSI 14 at 20 / 80: buys when RSI 14 crosses back above 20 after being oversold, sells short when RSI 14 crosses back below 80 after being overbought. Exit: RSI reaches 80 / 20.

RSI 2 (Connors): buys when price is above the 200 SMA and RSI 2 is below 10, sells short when price is below the 200 SMA and RSI 2 is above 90. Exit: Close back above SMA 5 (long) / below SMA 5 (short).

On the NQ 5-minute chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 549 trades, won 49.7% of them and made -1,210.25 points (-$24,205 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 5-minute chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took 146 trades, won 46.6% of them and made -6,047.25 points (-$120,945 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 5-minute chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 2 (Connors) took 1,528 trades, won 63.2% of them and made -380.75 points (-$7,615 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 15-minute chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 367 trades, won 48.8% of them and made -3,208.75 points (-$64,175 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 15-minute chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took 115 trades, won 43.5% of them and made -2,293.00 points (-$45,860 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 15-minute chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 2 (Connors) took 494 trades, won 61.3% of them and made -891.25 points (-$17,825 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 1-hour chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 140 trades, won 46.4% of them and made -614.50 points (-$12,290 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 1-hour chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took 30 trades, won 60.0% of them and made 853.50 points ($17,070 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 1-hour chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 2 (Connors) took 165 trades, won 60.0% of them and made 640.25 points ($12,805 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ daily chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 5 trades, won 60.0% of them and made -24.25 points (-$485 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ daily chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took 1 trade and made -2,219.00 points (-$44,380 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ daily chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 2 (Connors) took 23 trades, won 73.9% of them and made 283.50 points ($5,670 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage.

On the ES 5-minute chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 581 trades, won 49.2% of them and made 353.25 points ($17,663 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 5-minute chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took 154 trades, won 48.1% of them and made -633.50 points (-$31,675 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 5-minute chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 2 (Connors) took 1,491 trades, won 62.8% of them and made 224.75 points ($11,238 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 15-minute chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 369 trades, won 46.6% of them and made -391.50 points (-$19,575 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 15-minute chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took 104 trades, won 41.4% of them and made -429.00 points (-$21,450 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 15-minute chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 2 (Connors) took 487 trades, won 60.4% of them and made 71.25 points ($3,563 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 1-hour chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 129 trades, won 48.1% of them and made 257.75 points ($12,888 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 1-hour chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took 28 trades, won 57.1% of them and made -71.25 points (-$3,562 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 1-hour chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 2 (Connors) took 169 trades, won 62.1% of them and made 535.50 points ($26,775 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES daily chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 4 trades, won 75.0% of them and made 512.00 points ($25,600 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES daily chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took no trades, before commission and slippage. On the ES daily chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 2 (Connors) took 27 trades, won 85.2% of them and made 611.00 points ($30,550 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage.

How to read the columns: Trades is the number of closed trades; Win % is the share of them that finished above zero points; Net pts is the sum of every trade's points; Net $ is net points times the contract's dollars per point, on one contract; Max DD pts is the largest fall of the running total of points from a peak. The longs-only and shorts-only columns are sums over that side's own trades, and the two sides add up to the strategy's combined result.

CE Market Solutions tested every strategy on the last 2 years of NQ and ES futures (NQ 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07 and ES 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27), before commission and slippage, with each signal filled at the next bar's open, intraday positions flat at 15:59 ET and textbook default indicator settings. Nothing is tuned.

Questions and answers

How do RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70), RSI 14 at 20 / 80 and RSI 2 (Connors) compare on Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ)?

On the NQ 15-minute chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 367 trades, won 48.8% of them and made -3,208.75 points (-$64,175 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 15-minute chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took 115 trades, won 43.5% of them and made -2,293.00 points (-$45,860 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ 15-minute chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, RSI 2 (Connors) took 494 trades, won 61.3% of them and made -891.25 points (-$17,825 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. The other timeframes they share on NQ are in the table above.

How do RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70), RSI 14 at 20 / 80 and RSI 2 (Connors) compare on S&P 500 futures (ES)?

On the ES 15-minute chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 oversold / overbought (30 / 70) took 369 trades, won 46.6% of them and made -391.50 points (-$19,575 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 15-minute chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 14 at 20 / 80 took 104 trades, won 41.4% of them and made -429.00 points (-$21,450 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the ES 15-minute chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, RSI 2 (Connors) took 487 trades, won 60.4% of them and made 71.25 points ($3,563 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. The other timeframes they share on ES are in the table above.

How these were run

  • Gross: no commission and no slippage.
  • The last 2 years of each market, from the first to the last session of its window.
  • A signal on a closed bar fills at the next bar’s open.
  • A stop and a target touched in the same minute count as the stop.
  • Intraday positions are flat at 15:59 ET.
  • Textbook TradingView default settings for every indicator; nothing is tuned.

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