Strategy library · Trend and breakouts

NR7 breakout backtest on NQ and ES futures

NR7 breakout

Also called: NR7 strategy, narrow range 7 breakout, narrowest range of 7 days, buy when price breaks above the high of the narrowest-range (NR7) day in the next session, short when price breaks below the low of the narrowest-range (NR7) day in the next session

What happens if you buy NQ every time price breaks above the high of the narrowest-range (NR7) day in the next session?

What it is

An NR7 day is the day with the narrowest daily range of the last 7 days. After an NR7 day, this strategy goes long on a break of that day's high next session and short on a break of its low, with the stop at the other side and an exit at the close.

What it did

On NQ futures from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, the NR7 breakout strategy took 73 trades on the daily chart, won 53.4% of them and finished 1,241.50 points ($24,830 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. From 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07 on NQ, the 37 long trades on the daily chart won 43.2% and made -705.50 points (-$14,110 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage. On ES futures from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, the NR7 breakout strategy took 74 trades on the daily chart, won 50.0% of them and finished 61.00 points ($3,050 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. This strategy was tested on the daily chart only; every trade is listed on this page.

How it was tested

CE Market Solutions tested the NR7 breakout strategy on NQ (2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07) and ES (2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27) futures, before commission and slippage, with each signal filled at the next bar's open, intraday positions flat at 15:59 ET and textbook default indicator settings; every trade is listed on this page.

See it tested with one change · $19

Tested by CE Market Solutions on 2026-10-26. Every trade is listed below. Gross, no commission or slippage. Last 2 years.

Results

Rule as tested: After the narrowest daily range of the last 7 days, long on a break of that day's high next session; short on a break of its low. Exit: Stop at the other side, exit at the close.

TimeframeNQ · 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07ES · 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27
TradesWin %Avg ptsProfit factorNet ptsNet $ (1 NQ)Max DD ptsTradesWin %Avg ptsProfit factorNet ptsNet $ (1 ES)Max DD pts
Daily7353.4%17.011.2241,241.50$24,8301,094.757450.0%0.821.05361.00$3,050251.25
Daily · longs only3743.2%——−705.50−$14,110979.754245.2%——−196.50−$9,825225.50
Daily · shorts only3663.9%——1,947.00$38,940597.253256.3%——257.50$12,875138.00

Free to use with credit to CE Market Solutions (CC BY 4.0).

ES daily: the equity line

NR7 breakout, ES daily, 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27. Cumulative points after each trade; low −56.25, high 285.00, last 61.00.

Long and short

SideTradesNet pts
Long42−196.50
Short32257.50

By month

MonthTradesNet pts
2024-094−32.50
2024-102−11.75
2024-1138.25
2025-014135.25
2025-023−55.50
2025-038101.50
2025-04311.75
2025-053−57.25
2025-06350.00
2025-0721.50
2025-0840.00
2025-094−12.00
2025-102−9.50
2025-113106.25
2025-12541.50
2026-011−60.00
2026-022−70.75
2026-033138.25
2026-043−160.00
2026-053−24.00
2026-06264.00
2026-074−131.25
2026-08327.25
Every trade, ES daily74 trades

Daily results show the table and the equity line; there is no chart viewer for them yet.

All trades (74), newest first

Times are New York time; points are gross.

Session dateSideEntry (ET)Entry priceExit (ET)Exit priceExit reasonPoints
2026-08-27long2026-08-26 18:007722.002026-08-27 16:597733.00session close11.00
2026-08-11short2026-08-11 11:397763.002026-08-11 16:597753.25session close9.75
2026-08-07long2026-08-07 08:307770.752026-08-07 16:597777.25session close6.50
2026-07-16long2026-07-15 20:147626.252026-07-16 14:407571.75stop other side−54.50
2026-07-06long2026-07-05 18:007565.252026-07-06 16:597596.75session close31.50
2026-07-02long2026-07-02 09:437579.002026-07-02 12:377505.75stop other side−73.25
2026-07-01long2026-07-01 11:177567.752026-07-01 16:597532.75session close−35.00
2026-06-17short2026-06-17 10:407578.002026-06-17 16:597511.00session close67.00
2026-06-01long2026-05-31 20:057611.502026-06-01 16:597608.50session close−3.00
2026-05-27long2026-05-27 07:017565.752026-05-27 11:487517.00stop other side−48.75
2026-05-26short2026-05-26 11:567517.002026-05-26 16:597532.75session close−15.75
2026-05-25long2026-05-24 18:007524.002026-05-25 12:597564.50session close40.50
2026-04-28long2026-04-27 18:057211.252026-04-28 07:217171.50stop other side−39.75
2026-04-13short2026-04-12 18:006780.002026-04-13 12:506888.00stop other side−108.00
2026-04-10long2026-04-10 08:296876.002026-04-10 16:596863.75session close−12.25
2026-03-26short2026-03-25 22:376616.502026-03-26 16:596535.50session close81.00
2026-03-12short2026-03-11 18:246749.752026-03-12 16:596685.25session close64.50
2026-03-11short2026-03-11 11:296762.502026-03-11 16:596769.75session close−7.25
2026-02-17short2026-02-16 20:516841.002026-02-17 16:596862.25session close−21.25
2026-02-11short2026-02-11 05:016957.002026-02-11 09:287006.50stop other side−49.50
2026-01-26short2026-01-25 18:006904.002026-01-26 09:316964.00stop other side−60.00
2025-12-31short2025-12-30 18:396940.752025-12-31 16:596893.75session close47.00
2025-12-29short2025-12-29 02:086969.002025-12-29 16:596956.50session close12.50
2025-12-26long2025-12-25 18:146988.002025-12-26 16:596977.00session close−11.00
2025-12-23long2025-12-23 04:426936.252025-12-23 16:596958.00session close21.75
2025-12-10short2025-12-09 19:556844.002025-12-10 14:076872.75stop other side−28.75
2025-11-28long2025-11-27 18:086833.752025-11-28 13:146857.25session close23.50
2025-11-13short2025-11-12 18:516852.002025-11-13 16:596762.50session close89.50
2025-11-12long2025-11-11 19:506880.002025-11-12 16:596873.25session close−6.75
2025-10-22short2025-10-22 10:276759.252025-10-22 16:596737.50session close21.75
2025-10-07long2025-10-07 08:536797.752025-10-07 11:066766.50stop other side−31.25
2025-09-30short2025-09-30 03:416696.252025-09-30 15:496736.00stop other side−39.75
2025-09-29long2025-09-28 18:206703.752025-09-29 16:596708.50session close4.75
2025-09-15long2025-09-15 08:156606.002025-09-15 16:596616.75session close10.75
2025-09-02short2025-09-02 03:146459.502025-09-02 16:596447.25session close12.25
2025-08-19short2025-08-19 01:216456.002025-08-19 16:596435.00session close21.00
2025-08-14short2025-08-14 08:346461.002025-08-14 16:596489.75session close−28.75
2025-08-12long2025-08-12 08:356431.502025-08-12 16:596468.50session close37.00
2025-08-11long2025-08-10 21:336425.752025-08-11 16:596396.50session close−29.25
2025-07-25long2025-07-24 22:276418.252025-07-25 16:596428.25session close10.00
2025-07-21long2025-07-21 09:456357.002025-07-21 16:596348.50session close−8.50
2025-06-26long2025-06-26 02:456160.252025-06-26 16:596195.75session close35.50
2025-06-19short2025-06-18 20:166017.752025-06-19 12:595978.25session close39.50
2025-06-05short2025-06-04 18:015974.002025-06-05 08:495999.00stop other side−25.00
2025-05-29long2025-05-28 19:015952.502025-05-29 11:585890.00stop other side−62.50
2025-05-15short2025-05-15 01:345890.002025-05-15 11:435925.00stop other side−35.00
2025-05-06short2025-05-05 22:055655.252025-05-06 16:595615.00session close40.25
2025-04-30short2025-04-30 08:405521.502025-04-30 15:535597.25stop other side−75.75
2025-04-28long2025-04-28 09:255562.252025-04-28 16:595545.50session close−16.75
2025-04-16short2025-04-15 18:005403.752025-04-16 16:595299.50session close104.25
2025-03-26short2025-03-26 10:205802.252025-03-26 16:595754.75session close47.50
2025-03-24long2025-03-23 18:005740.002025-03-24 16:595813.00session close73.00
2025-03-21short2025-03-21 08:375682.502025-03-21 16:595720.00session close−37.50
2025-03-19long2025-03-19 14:535738.252025-03-19 16:595729.75session close−8.50
2025-03-17long2025-03-17 08:415648.752025-03-17 16:595680.25session close31.50
2025-03-14long2025-03-14 11:215623.002025-03-14 16:595628.75session close5.75
2025-03-12long2025-03-12 08:305651.752025-03-12 16:595597.25session close−54.50
2025-03-10short2025-03-10 10:045673.002025-03-10 16:595628.75session close44.25
2025-02-18long2025-02-18 01:296147.252025-02-18 10:016131.00stop other side−16.25
2025-02-17long2025-02-17 09:016146.752025-02-17 12:596146.00session close−0.75
2025-02-07long2025-02-07 06:526108.502025-02-07 10:536070.00stop other side−38.50
2025-01-27short2025-01-26 18:006102.252025-01-27 16:596050.25session close52.00
2025-01-23long2025-01-23 13:136135.752025-01-23 16:596148.50session close12.75
2025-01-17long2025-01-17 08:336017.502025-01-17 16:596032.50session close15.00
2025-01-10short2025-01-10 08:305917.002025-01-10 16:595861.50session close55.50
2024-11-29long2024-11-28 21:226032.502024-11-29 13:146051.50session close19.00
2024-11-12short2024-11-12 05:256013.502024-11-12 16:596012.25session close1.25
2024-11-11long2024-11-11 03:066040.502024-11-11 16:596028.50session close−12.00
2024-10-29short2024-10-28 20:085857.002024-10-29 16:595878.00session close−21.00
2024-10-11long2024-10-11 10:065844.002024-10-11 16:595853.25session close9.25
2024-09-26long2024-09-25 21:555798.752024-09-26 16:595803.75session close5.00
2024-09-17long2024-09-17 02:475702.002024-09-17 16:595701.25session close−0.75
2024-09-16long2024-09-16 15:575641.502024-09-16 16:595633.75session close−7.75
2024-09-03long2024-09-02 18:005667.002024-09-03 05:005638.00stop other side−29.00

Page 1 of 1

The other trades quoted above

Every trade, NQ daily73 trades

Newest first. Times are New York time; points are gross.

Session dateSideEntry (ET)Entry priceExit (ET)Exit priceExit reasonPoints
2026-10-07short2026-10-07 06:4231309.252026-10-07 16:5931403.75session close−94.50
2026-09-28short2026-09-27 22:5530679.002026-09-28 16:5930556.75session close122.25
2026-09-08short2026-09-07 19:1629530.502026-09-07 21:3929683.50stop other side−153.00
2026-09-01long2026-09-01 01:5529546.252026-09-01 04:3729273.50stop other side−272.75
2026-08-28long2026-08-28 10:3829708.002026-08-28 16:5929509.50session close−198.50
2026-08-17long2026-08-17 02:0430283.002026-08-17 16:5930078.25session close−204.75
2026-08-11short2026-08-10 19:2029718.752026-08-11 16:5929646.75session close72.00
2026-08-10long2026-08-09 18:0029867.752026-08-10 16:5929764.25session close−103.50
2026-08-07long2026-08-07 08:3029686.252026-08-07 16:5929839.50session close153.25
2026-08-06short2026-08-05 21:0029530.752026-08-06 16:5929504.25session close26.50
2026-07-23short2026-07-23 03:4228952.002026-07-23 16:5928739.25session close212.75
2026-07-13short2026-07-13 00:0029675.002026-07-13 16:5929428.75session close246.25
2026-07-07short2026-07-06 23:2929683.002026-07-07 16:5929419.50session close263.50
2026-07-06long2026-07-05 18:0029955.252026-07-06 16:5929947.75session close−7.50
2026-07-02short2026-07-01 20:0130008.502026-07-02 16:5929551.75session close456.75
2026-06-22short2026-06-21 19:3630388.002026-06-22 03:0430770.75stop other side−382.75
2026-05-25long2026-05-24 18:0029749.002026-05-25 12:5929962.50session close213.50
2026-05-12short2026-05-12 02:5529225.752026-05-12 16:5929134.25session close91.50
2026-04-28short2026-04-28 05:3327298.502026-04-28 16:5927191.50session close107.00
2026-04-13short2026-04-12 18:0024980.002026-04-13 12:2925393.00stop other side−413.00
2026-04-10long2026-04-09 20:5925269.752026-04-10 16:5925333.00session close63.25
2026-03-26short2026-03-25 19:4524286.502026-03-26 16:5923822.00session close464.50
2026-03-12short2026-03-11 18:2424873.502026-03-12 16:5924568.50session close305.00
2026-02-11short2026-02-11 05:0025198.252026-02-11 08:5625447.25stop other side−249.00
2026-01-20short2026-01-20 03:0625236.502026-01-20 16:5925142.75session close93.75
2026-01-14short2026-01-14 05:2125803.252026-01-14 16:5925612.00session close191.25
2025-12-29short2025-12-28 21:3625834.252025-12-29 16:5925744.50session close89.75
2025-12-26long2025-12-25 18:0025892.002025-12-26 16:5925856.00session close−36.00
2025-12-23short2025-12-23 08:3925628.002025-12-23 14:5425794.75stop other side−166.75
2025-12-10long2025-12-10 03:0625735.752025-12-10 10:5525560.00stop other side−175.75
2025-11-28long2025-11-27 19:0525339.252025-11-28 13:1425484.50session close145.25
2025-11-26long2025-11-25 20:1225135.252025-11-26 16:5925314.00session close178.75
2025-11-04short2025-11-03 19:1826012.752025-11-04 16:5925577.00session close435.75
2025-10-22short2025-10-22 09:3325203.252025-10-22 16:5925040.00session close163.25
2025-10-21long2025-10-20 21:2025354.502025-10-21 16:5925265.25session close−89.25
2025-10-03long2025-10-03 01:0625180.002025-10-03 13:4624993.75stop other side−186.25
2025-10-01short2025-10-01 02:4524722.252025-10-01 11:0124913.75stop other side−191.50
2025-09-29long2025-09-28 18:0824747.502025-09-29 16:5924811.25session close63.75
2025-09-17short2025-09-17 04:3524492.502025-09-17 16:5924502.00session close−9.50
2025-09-15long2025-09-15 03:3624159.002025-09-15 16:5924296.50session close137.50
2025-08-19short2025-08-19 09:3223719.002025-08-19 16:5923473.50session close245.50
2025-08-14short2025-08-14 08:3023886.002025-08-14 16:5923891.50session close−5.50
2025-08-12long2025-08-12 08:3723804.502025-08-12 16:5923949.50session close145.00
2025-08-11long2025-08-10 18:0023767.752025-08-11 16:5923629.50session close−138.25
2025-07-25long2025-07-24 21:4323424.502025-07-25 16:5923447.75session close23.25
2025-07-21long2025-07-21 09:3623320.752025-07-21 16:5923347.00session close26.25
2025-07-09long2025-07-09 09:2922972.752025-07-09 16:5923043.50session close70.75
2025-07-07short2025-07-07 12:2022882.002025-07-07 16:5922839.00session close43.00
2025-06-26long2025-06-26 03:1722548.252025-06-26 16:5922672.50session close124.25
2025-06-19short2025-06-18 20:1621862.252025-06-19 12:5921703.00session close159.25
2025-06-05long2025-06-05 03:2721803.002025-06-05 14:1621641.00stop other side−162.00
2025-05-29long2025-05-28 18:5021567.502025-05-29 12:0021321.25stop other side−246.25
2025-05-15short2025-05-15 04:3821238.252025-05-15 11:2221419.50stop other side−181.25
2025-05-12long2025-05-11 18:0020398.502025-05-12 16:5920957.00session close558.50
2025-05-06short2025-05-05 21:3619966.002025-05-06 16:5919846.75session close119.25
2025-04-30short2025-04-30 08:3219378.002025-04-30 15:5519688.50stop other side−310.50
2025-04-29long2025-04-28 22:2619623.002025-04-29 16:5919614.25session close−8.75
2025-04-28long2025-04-28 09:4419589.002025-04-28 16:5919483.75session close−105.25
2025-04-16short2025-04-15 18:0018790.002025-04-16 16:5918369.25session close420.75
2025-03-26long2025-03-25 18:1020524.752025-03-26 10:1620293.00stop other side−231.75
2025-03-25long2025-03-25 07:5120409.502025-03-25 16:5920517.25session close107.75
2025-03-21short2025-03-21 08:4019735.252025-03-21 16:5919970.75session close−235.50
2025-03-13short2025-03-13 09:5619387.002025-03-13 16:5919293.00session close94.00
2025-02-18long2025-02-18 01:3922281.752025-02-18 09:4622192.50stop other side−89.25
2025-02-07long2025-02-06 20:3621882.252025-02-07 10:1221705.75stop other side−176.50
2025-01-24long2025-01-23 21:1722050.502025-01-24 14:0821855.50stop other side−195.00
2025-01-21short2025-01-20 19:5321526.502025-01-21 16:0221778.75stop other side−252.25
2025-01-10short2025-01-10 08:3021166.252025-01-10 16:5920997.75session close168.50
2024-11-29long2024-11-28 22:0620909.502024-11-29 09:3220807.25stop other side−102.25
2024-11-25long2024-11-24 18:0020935.002024-11-25 16:5920899.50session close−35.50
2024-11-11long2024-11-10 18:0021265.002024-11-11 13:0221121.75stop other side−143.25
2024-10-25long2024-10-25 03:5420428.502024-10-25 16:5920476.00session close47.50
2024-10-14long2024-10-14 06:0020494.252024-10-14 16:5920638.50session close144.25

Questions and answers

What happens if you buy NQ every time price breaks above the high of the narrowest-range (NR7) day in the next session?

From 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07 on the NQ daily chart, the NR7 breakout strategy took 37 long trades, won 43.2% of them and made -705.50 points (-$14,110 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage.

What happens if you short ES every time price breaks below the low of the narrowest-range (NR7) day in the next session?

From 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27 on the ES daily chart, the NR7 breakout strategy took 32 short trades, won 56.3% of them and made 257.50 points ($12,875 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage.

Does the NR7 breakout strategy work on Nasdaq futures?

On NQ futures from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, the NR7 breakout strategy on the daily chart took 73 trades, won 53.4% of them and finished 1,241.50 points ($24,830 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage.

What is the win rate of NR7 breakout on ES futures?

The NR7 breakout strategy won 50.0% of its 74 trades on the ES daily chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, before commission and slippage.

Is it better to only buy or only sell NR7 breakout signals on NQ?

On the NQ daily chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, the long trades made -705.50 points on 37 trades (43.2% won) and the short trades made 1,947.00 points on 36 trades (63.9% won), before commission and slippage.

How many trades does the NR7 breakout strategy take on NQ in two years?

The NR7 breakout strategy took 73 trades on the NQ daily chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, before commission and slippage.

What is the max drawdown of the NR7 breakout strategy on NQ?

The NR7 breakout strategy had a max drawdown of 1,094.75 points ($21,895 on one NQ contract) on the NQ daily chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, before commission and slippage.

How does the NR7 breakout strategy do on ES compared with NQ?

On the ES daily chart from 2024-08-28 to 2026-08-27, the NR7 breakout strategy took 74 trades, won 50.0% of them and made 61.00 points ($3,050 on one ES contract), before commission and slippage. On the NQ daily chart from 2024-10-08 to 2026-10-07, the NR7 breakout strategy took 73 trades, won 53.4% of them and made 1,241.50 points ($24,830 on one NQ contract), before commission and slippage.

How these were run

  • Gross: no commission and no slippage.
  • The last 2 years of each market, from the first to the last session of its window.
  • A signal on a closed bar fills at the next bar’s open.
  • A stop and a target touched in the same minute count as the stop.
  • Intraday positions are flat at 15:59 ET.
  • Textbook TradingView default settings for every indicator; nothing is tuned.

Want your own rules tested the same way?